Are You Making Giant Bets? Bad Poker Habits You Should Fix Now Part 2
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Are You Making Giant Bets? Bad Poker Habits You Should Fix Now Part 2

Shuhei
Author
Shuhei

Affiliated with the College of Arts and Sciences (Science II) at the University of Tokyo.
Started studying poker after entering university.
Writes as a contributor for CLOViZ Inc.

Have you ever regretted a hand?

Many players can follow preflop range charts, but once the board comes down they think, “I have no idea what to do postflop…”

I was exactly the same when I started. And because the pot grows quickly postflop, one mistake can be costly. Maybe you’ve faced a big bet, tank-called, then immediately realized your hand was never good and thought, “Why did I call there if I’d just stayed calm?” If you study postflop in advance, you can reduce those painful, high-impact mistakes and keep more chips in your stack.

In the previous article, we covered two bad preflop habits you should fix right now to move beyond the beginner stage. In this follow-up, we’ll look at two postflop bad habits beginners should fix first: “auto-calling” and “Gian betting.”
Note: These are not standard poker terms. They are labels used only in this article.

Fix these, and you’ll take a real first step toward becoming a stronger, more confident player.

https://pokerqz.com/blog/poker-beginner-bad-habits-001


1. Bad Habit 1: Auto-Calling

You’re in the big blind with As 5h. The button raises to 250 and you call. Including the small blind that folded, the pot is 550. You check, and the button bets 275 (half pot).

Do you ever think, “I have an Ace, the strongest card. If an Ace hits, I can win, so I’ll just call for now”?

Stop making that “auto-call.”

Calling just because you have an Ace is a great way to bleed chips. Cut it out immediately.

How often does an Ace actually hit the board? The answer is only about 12%. That means you’ll hit an Ace only around 1 time in 8. And even if you do hit, you can still lose to a better Ace kicker like Ac Tc, or to two pair or better like Ks 3s. In other words, even when you hit your Ace, it’s not automatically the “best hand.”

Here’s a simple way to estimate the chance of improving your hand. It requires no difficult math, and even if you’re not confident with numbers, you can use it right away.

The 2%–4% Rule for Quick Equity Estimates

On the flop and turn, you can estimate the chance of hitting your outs by the river like this:

Flop: (number of outs) × 4 (%)

Turn: (number of outs) × 2 (%)

Simple, right? This works because a standard deck has 52 cards. Now let’s apply it to the spot above. You hold As, so the remaining Aces are Ah Ad Ac, which gives you 3 outs. Since we’re on the flop:

3 × 4 = 12 (%)

So you’ll hit an Ace only about 12% of the time, or roughly 1 time in 8.

Beginners often auto-call too much. Before you call, pause for a moment and think. The 2%–4% rule is extremely useful, so memorize it and start applying it in real hands.


2. Bad Habit 2: Gian Betting

The unbeatable Gian vs. the helpless Nobita: bet when strong, check when weak

Imagine a poker table where Gian and Nobita are sitting in front of you. Gian always has the strongest possible hand, and Nobita always has no pair (just a high card). How would you play against them?

1) When Gian bets, you know you’re always behind, so you fold every hand.

2) When Nobita keeps checking, you know he’s extremely weak, so even with a weak hand you bluff and make him fold.

That’s probably what you’d do. If you already know what they have, the decisions become easy. But then Gian never gets called, and Nobita always gets pushed off the pot, so neither of them wins chips.

Now ask yourself this:

Are your actions turning you into “Gian and Nobita” too?

Let’s look at a similar spot. You’re in the big blind with 3s 3h. The button raises to 250 and you call. Including the small blind that folded, the pot is 550. Then you get lucky and the flop brings 3c, giving you three of a kind. You think, “This is super strong, I should bet big,” and you lead for 550 (a pot-sized bet). But here’s the truth:

Stop making that “Gian bet.”

If you bet huge only when you have a strong hand, you’re basically telling your opponent: “When I bet big, I’m strong. When I don’t, I’m weak.” That’s exactly the Gian and Nobita problem. Even though you flopped a powerful hand like trips, your opponent will often fold immediately and you won’t win much at all.

To avoid falling into the Gian betting trap, keep these points in mind:

• Consider checking sometimes even with strong hands

• Consider bluffing when your hand is extremely weak (like no pair)

Donk Betting

A bet like the one above, where the caller bets into the preflop raiser, is called a donk bet. When beginners use donk bets, they often lose money, so in general, avoid donk betting.

Remember: “If you call, then check.”

If you want to understand why donk betting is usually a mistake and take your game to the next level, check out the article below for a detailed explanation.

https://pokerqz.com/blog/donk

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Company Info

Company: CLOViZ Inc.

Location: Setagaya, Tokyo, Japan

Founded: May 7, 2024

CEO: Sotaro Masaki

URL: https://cloviz.co.jp