Poker win rate (equity) reference
Equity shifts with every situation, but knowing the win rates for common matchups makes in-game decisions much faster. Here we cover ballpark figures for preflop all-ins plus a flop draw-vs-made-hand example. Check the calculator above anytime for exact numbers.
Example 1: AKs vs QQ (preflop)
When AKs (suited) and QQ go all-in preflop, equity runs about 46% to 54%. QQ is a slight favorite, but it's close to a “coin flip” — AK takes the lead if the board brings an A or K, or if it completes a flush or straight.
Example 2: Flush draw vs top pair (flop)
When a flush draw (9 outs) faces top pair on the flop, its equity to the river is roughly 35% to 65%. If the draw also has overcard or straight outs, that can climb to around 38–45%.
Key preflop matchup win rates
Win rates for a heads-up preflop all-in. Each figure averages every combo in the hand class, so the exact value shifts a little depending on how the suits overlap. To check a specific two-card holding, use the equity calculator above.
| Matchup | Type | Favorite | Underdog | Tie |
|---|
| AA vs KK | Overpair clash | 81.9% | 18.1% | 0.46% |
| KK vs QQ | Overpair clash | 81.9% | 18.1% | 0.46% |
| QQ vs AKo | Coin flip | 56.8% | 43.2% | 0.42% |
| QQ vs AKs | Coin flip | 54.0% | 46.0% | 0.43% |
| JJ vs AKo | Coin flip | 56.9% | 43.1% | 0.41% |
| TT vs AQs | Coin flip | 54.1% | 45.9% | 0.40% |
| 22 vs AKs | Coin flip | 50.1% | 49.9% | 0.65% |
| AA vs AKs | Pair ahead | 87.9% | 12.1% | 1.26% |
| KK vs AKo | Pair ahead | 69.9% | 30.1% | 0.85% |
| AA vs JTs | Pair ahead | 78.8% | 21.2% | 0.38% |
| AA vs 72o | Pair ahead | 88.2% | 11.8% | 0.42% |
| AKo vs AQo | Dominated | 74.4% | 25.6% | 4.67% |
| AKo vs KQs | Dominated | 70.4% | 29.6% | 1.15% |
Each row averages every valid combo pairing, counting all five-card runouts one by one (986,287,104 in total across this table). These are exact counts, not simulation estimates.
For call decisions, compare the equity you found here with pot odds (the equity you need). If you're weighing which hands to get all-in with, the preflop range charts by position are worth a look too.